Our Common Good
Former Romney campaign adviser Dan Senor on Wednesday acknowledged that he and his fellow Republicans misread the American electorate in 2012, while suggesting that the election proves there is “some kind of systemic crisis today in the world of polling.” Senor specifically highlighted the poor performance by right-leaning pollsters such as Rasmussen, as well as Gallup.

More voters than ever now identify themselves as pro-choice when it comes to abortion, and most rate the issue as important to how they vote.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely U.S. Voters shows that 54% describe themselves as pro-choice on the issue of abortion, while 38% say they are pro-life. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows President Obama attracting support from 46% of voters nationwide, while Mitt Romney earns 44% of the vote. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.

In his syndicated newspaper column, Scott Rasmussen notes that the election is still all about the economy. Following yesterday’s disappointing jobs report, consumer confidence held steady this morning. However, it often takes up to a week before the full impact of a jobs report on confidence can be determined.

The president is enjoying a convention bounce that has been evident in the last two nights of tracking data. He led by two just before the Republican convention, so he has already erased the modest bounce Romney received from his party’s celebration in Tampa. Perhaps more significantly, Democratic interest in the campaign has soared. For the first time, those in the president’s party are following the campaign as closely as GOP voters. Interest in a campaign is typically considered a good indicator of turnout. Platinum Members can monitor enthusiasm, demographic breakdowns and additional information from the tracking poll on a daily basis.

The president’s bounce began the night after Bill Clinton spoke to the convention and received rave reviews. Sixty-six percent (66%) of voters nationwide have a favorable opinion of the former president. Democrats overwhelmingly believe Clinton and Obama have similar views on how to fix the economy, but few Republicans and unaffiliated voters share that assessment. Among all voters, 59% see Clinton as a better president, while 19% prefer Obama. Democrats are evenly divided.

brooklynmutt:

Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-Mo.) isn’t buying the survey from conservative polling outlet Rasmussen that was released Thursday showing her with a lead of 10 percentage points over embattled Rep. Todd Akin (R-Mo.) in the Missouri Senate race. McCaskill said the poll made her “laugh out loud.”
The Hill

brooklynmutt:

Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-Mo.) isn’t buying the survey from conservative polling outlet Rasmussen that was released Thursday showing her with a lead of 10 percentage points over embattled Rep. Todd Akin (R-Mo.) in the Missouri Senate race. McCaskill said the poll made her “laugh out loud.”

The Hill

Missouri Senate: McCaskill (D) 48%, Akin (R) 38%

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Show Me State finds McCaskill earning 48% support to Akin’s 38%. Nine percent (9%) like some other candidate in the race, and five percent (5%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Rasmussen Reports

From Rasmussen - Fox News viewers will croak.  Their favorite polling company has gone to the dark side.

paxamericana:

paxamericana:

I flipped over to Fox News this morning, and the big story was that “recent polls show Romney ahead of Obama in Wisconsin.” First of all because this is Fox and second of all because this sounded like complete horseshit, I figured I’d check it out.

Just to add another layer of hilarity to this, google “Rasmussen house effect” to see why all polls from Rasmussen should be taken with a grain of salt to begin with. 

PS: “This Wisconsin survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted June 12, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.”

Obama Increasing Lead In Key Swing States

liberalsarecool:

The very right-leaning Rasmussen poll:

A new Rasmussen survey shows President Obama now holds a modest lead over Mitt Romney in combined polling of the key swing states Florida, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia, 46% to 42%.

In late February they were tied.

quickhits:

Mowed the lawn today. Still hate everything about that concept. Now here’s the news…


Gallup polling shows that the race is tight between President Obama and Republican challengers. Doesn’t mean a whole lot at this point in the game, though. Over at Rasmussen though, the report is that Sarah Palin would get her ass kicked, landslide-style.

Paul Ryan says he won’t run. I have no idea why The Weekly Standard has been pushing him, his destroy-Medicare plan has left him about as electable as Herman Cain.

President Obama on Libya; “Although it’s clear that Qaddafi’s rule is over, he still has the opportunity to reduce further bloodshed by explicitly relinquishing power to the people of Libya and calling for those forces that continue to fight to lay down their arms for the sake of Libya.” Of course, Republicans are busy being dicks about it. If they could cook up some rationale for crediting Bush with this, they would.

Meanwhile, the Libyan people thank the “Fantastic Four”; President Obama, French President Nicolas Sarkozy, British Prime Minister David Cameron, and U.S. Ambassador the U.N. Susan Rice.

How would you go about making American media even worse? This would be a good start.

Wait, the AFL-CIO didn’t have a Super PAC? They do now.

Punctuality is not a Michele Bachmann trait.

Finally, Remember “Joe the Plumber?” Most people don’t. He wrote a book that sold 500 copies.

The national group (with Texas roots) backing efforts to replace federal health care programs with interstate “health care compacts” is the newest sponsor of the “Daily Update” from polling firm Rasmussen Reports — with Monday’s email containing survey results critical of federal policies and ‘Obamacare.’